With the Cyprus House of Representatives election set for May 24 under proportional representation across six districts, trader consensus heavily favors DISY to secure the most seats among 56 Greek Cypriot positions, reflecting its consistent edge in recent polls over rival AKEL. Latest surveys, including the May 11 IMR poll projecting DISY at 14 seats to AKEL's 13, show DISY leading vote intentions 20.9-24.5% to AKEL's 19-21.1%, bolstered by fragmentation from a record 753 candidates and rising smaller parties like ELAM (12-15%) and ALMA. AKEL's May 14 openness to a post-election House speaker bid signals preparation for opposition, while undecided voters (up to 7%) add uncertainty amid tight races in battleground districts like Nicosia. Historical incumbent advantages and DISY's polling momentum underpin the 81.5% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于争取民主联盟（DISY） 82%
进步党 18%
ELAM <1%
DIPA <1%
$33,118 交易量
$33,118 交易量
2026-05-24
争取民主联盟（DISY）
82%
进步党
18%
ELAM
1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM（DEK）
<1%
争取民主联盟（DISY） 82%
进步党 18%
ELAM <1%
DIPA <1%
$33,118 交易量
$33,118 交易量
2026-05-24
争取民主联盟（DISY）
$8,212 交易量
82%
进步党
$4,667 交易量
18%
ELAM
$3,619 交易量
1%
DIPA
$2,149 交易量
<1%
DIKO
$3,435 交易量
<1%
KOSP
$2,313 交易量
<1%
VOLT
$2,400 交易量
<1%
EDEK
$3,473 交易量
<1%
DNM（DEK）
$2,850 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the Cyprus House of Representatives election set for May 24 under proportional representation across six districts, trader consensus heavily favors DISY to secure the most seats among 56 Greek Cypriot positions, reflecting its consistent edge in recent polls over rival AKEL. Latest surveys, including the May 11 IMR poll projecting DISY at 14 seats to AKEL's 13, show DISY leading vote intentions 20.9-24.5% to AKEL's 19-21.1%, bolstered by fragmentation from a record 753 candidates and rising smaller parties like ELAM (12-15%) and ALMA. AKEL's May 14 openness to a post-election House speaker bid signals preparation for opposition, while undecided voters (up to 7%) add uncertainty amid tight races in battleground districts like Nicosia. Historical incumbent advantages and DISY's polling momentum underpin the 81.5% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$33,118结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).With the Cyprus House of Representatives election set for May 24 under proportional representation across six districts, trader consensus heavily favors DISY to secure the most seats among 56 Greek Cypriot positions, reflecting its consistent edge in recent polls over rival AKEL. Latest surveys, including the May 11 IMR poll projecting DISY at 14 seats to AKEL's 13, show DISY leading vote intentions 20.9-24.5% to AKEL's 19-21.1%, bolstered by fragmentation from a record 753 candidates and rising smaller parties like ELAM (12-15%) and ALMA. AKEL's May 14 openness to a post-election House speaker bid signals preparation for opposition, while undecided voters (up to 7%) add uncertainty amid tight races in battleground districts like Nicosia. Historical incumbent advantages and DISY's polling momentum underpin the 81.5% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$33,118结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the Cyprus House of Representatives election set for May 24 under proportional representation across six districts, trader consensus heavily favors DISY to secure the most seats among 56 Greek Cypriot positions, reflecting its consistent edge in recent polls over rival AKEL. Latest surveys, including the May 11 IMR poll projecting DISY at 14 seats to AKEL's 13, show DISY leading vote intentions 20.9-24.5% to AKEL's 19-21.1%, bolstered by fragmentation from a record 753 candidates and rising smaller parties like ELAM (12-15%) and ALMA. AKEL's May 14 openness to a post-election House speaker bid signals preparation for opposition, while undecided voters (up to 7%) add uncertainty amid tight races in battleground districts like Nicosia. Historical incumbent advantages and DISY's polling momentum underpin the 81.5% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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