Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于争取民主联盟（DISY） 80%
进步党 19%
ELAM <1%
DNM（DEK） <1%
$37,911 交易量
$37,911 交易量
2026-05-24
争取民主联盟（DISY）
80%
进步党
19%
ELAM
1%
DNM（DEK）
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
争取民主联盟（DISY） 80%
进步党 19%
ELAM <1%
DNM（DEK） <1%
$37,911 交易量
$37,911 交易量
2026-05-24
争取民主联盟（DISY）
$9,832 交易量
80%
进步党
$4,740 交易量
19%
ELAM
$3,674 交易量
1%
DNM（DEK）
$3,518 交易量
<1%
DIPA
$2,155 交易量
<1%
DIKO
$3,470 交易量
<1%
KOSP
$2,349 交易量
<1%
VOLT
$4,700 交易量
<1%
EDEK
$3,473 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$37,911结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
交易量
$37,911结束日期
2026-05-24市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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