Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月15日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$111,868 交易量
$111,868 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$111,868 交易量
$111,868 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$362 交易量
否
21°C
$21,754 交易量
否
22°C
$13,653 交易量
否
23°C
$18,677 交易量
是
24°C
$15,849 交易量
否
25°C
$11,153 交易量
否
26°C
$11,884 交易量
否
27°C
$7,450 交易量
否
28°C
$9,922 交易量
否
29°C
$462 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$703 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$111,868结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$111,868结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local Dutch services indicate a maximum daytime temperature of exactly 23°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by a cooler air mass arriving after earlier regional heat. Model consensus and real-time observations align on this peak under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, placing the outcome firmly at the market's 100% implied probability. Historical August averages near 21°C provide supporting climatological context, though short-term variability from cloud cover or localized heating remains possible. Official station data at resolution will confirm the final reading, with minimal scope for revision given the day's advanced timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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