Current National Weather Service observations and short-range model consensus point to a daytime high in Dallas near 87°F on May 17, driven by southerly flow at 10–20 mph, dew points in the upper 60s, and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Morning showers and 80–85% relative humidity have already suppressed early temperature rise, keeping the 6 a.m. reading around 76°F at Dallas Love Field. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and NAM shows only modest afternoon clearing, with the primary uncertainty tied to the exact timing and coverage of any remaining convective clouds. These conditions place the highest probability on the 86–89°F bins while leaving limited room for a brief surge above 90°F if skies clear earlier than expected.