Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 14?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 交易量
$85,470 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$85,470 交易量
$85,470 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) Kaisaniemi station—the authoritative source for Helsinki temperatures—confirm a peak of 14°C early on May 14, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and scattered sprinkles that suppressed further warming. Updated hourly data shows temperatures declining to 10–12°C by afternoon, aligning with forecast model consensus from FMI and ECMWF indicating no rebound potential as solar heating wanes. This positions trader sentiment at virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for 14°C as the daily high, consistent with cool May climatology where averages hover near 15°C but variability arises from Baltic Sea influences. Realistic challenges are slim: only a post hoc revision from FMI or outlier reading from a secondary station like Helsinki-Vantaa could shift it, pending final daily report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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