Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, establishing a firm baseline that aligns with mid-May climatological norms and current sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. This verified observation anchors near-certain trader consensus on the 27°C outcome, as official station data resolve the market directly without reliance on forecasts or models. Minor adjustments could arise only from rare post-processing revisions to the raw readings or station-specific averaging methods, though historical patterns show such changes rarely shift the reported peak by more than 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日香港气温最高？
5月15日香港气温最高？
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 交易量
$292,433 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 交易量
$292,433 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C或以下
$3,583 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,551 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,480 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,250 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,799 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,477 交易量
<1%
25°C
$30,336 交易量
<1%
26°C
$69,254 交易量
<1%
27°C
$89,457 交易量
100%
28°C
$45,405 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$35,841 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, establishing a firm baseline that aligns with mid-May climatological norms and current sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. This verified observation anchors near-certain trader consensus on the 27°C outcome, as official station data resolve the market directly without reliance on forecasts or models. Minor adjustments could arise only from rare post-processing revisions to the raw readings or station-specific averaging methods, though historical patterns show such changes rarely shift the reported peak by more than 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$292,433结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, establishing a firm baseline that aligns with mid-May climatological norms and current sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. This verified observation anchors near-certain trader consensus on the 27°C outcome, as official station data resolve the market directly without reliance on forecasts or models. Minor adjustments could arise only from rare post-processing revisions to the raw readings or station-specific averaging methods, though historical patterns show such changes rarely shift the reported peak by more than 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$292,433结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, establishing a firm baseline that aligns with mid-May climatological norms and current sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea. This verified observation anchors near-certain trader consensus on the 27°C outcome, as official station data resolve the market directly without reliance on forecasts or models. Minor adjustments could arise only from rare post-processing revisions to the raw readings or station-specific averaging methods, though historical patterns show such changes rarely shift the reported peak by more than 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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