Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日伦敦气温最高?
23°C 29%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
19°C或以下
7%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 29%
22°C 28%
24°C 20%
21°C 12%
19°C或以下
7%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
20%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office indicate London highs near 22–24°C on June 13, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Following an exceptional May heatwave that produced record temperatures above 34°C, a shift to more typical early-summer conditions has cooled expectations, with guidance showing modest diurnal warming under variable cloud and light winds. Key differentiating factors include the precise strength of any Atlantic front, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, all of which can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these narrow probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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