Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伦敦气温最高？
5月17日伦敦气温最高？
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,496 交易量
$158,496 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,496 交易量
$158,496 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$997 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,915 交易量
<1%
12°C
$8,287 交易量
<1%
13°C
$12,717 交易量
<1%
14°C
$13,308 交易量
<1%
15°C
$19,210 交易量
<1%
16°C
$26,721 交易量
<1%
17°C
$30,362 交易量
<1%
18°C
$19,147 交易量
100%
19°C
$19,242 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$158,496结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$158,496结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum near 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. This consensus, aligned with historical mid-May climatology for southeast England, underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Ensemble agreement leaves minimal scope for deviation, though late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically nudge readings toward 19°C. Current model spreads keep the chance of 20°C or higher negligible, while official verification from the Met Office will resolve the market once final hourly observations are confirmed at standard London stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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