Active monsoon conditions driven by a well-marked low-pressure system over the region are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow through widespread cloud cover, frequent thundershowers, and enhanced moisture, limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, consistent with recent observations of below-normal highs around 30–31°C amid heavy precipitation on September 1. These dynamics position 30–32°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with 31°C holding the highest probability at 40%. Model consensus and historical September patterns under active monsoon phases support this range, though exact resolution depends on the timing and intensity of convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日勒克瑙的最高温度?
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active monsoon conditions driven by a well-marked low-pressure system over the region are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow through widespread cloud cover, frequent thundershowers, and enhanced moisture, limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling. India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers on September 3, consistent with recent observations of below-normal highs around 30–31°C amid heavy precipitation on September 1. These dynamics position 30–32°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, with 31°C holding the highest probability at 40%. Model consensus and historical September patterns under active monsoon phases support this range, though exact resolution depends on the timing and intensity of convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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