**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
6月13日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 35%
34°C 31%
32°C 27%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 31%
32°C 27%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$32 交易量
1%
31°C
$39 交易量
3%
32°C
$17 交易量
27%
33°C
$16 交易量
35%
34°C
$0 交易量
31%
35°C
$0 交易量
10%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$114结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$114结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET**Current PAGASA guidance for Metro Manila shows a 32°C maximum forecast for June 13 with a 60% rain chance, consistent with the closely matched market prices around 32–34°C.** The onset of the southwest monsoon (habagat) is the dominant near-term influence, increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. ENSO-neutral conditions prevail, with only gradual model signals for later El Niño development, providing little additional seasonal forcing this week. Urban heat-island effects in Manila can add 1–2°C locally on clearer intervals, while precise maximums hinge on the timing and coverage of convection. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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