Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日马尼拉的最高温度?
36°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,567 交易量
$29,567 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,567 交易量
$29,567 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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