Recent extended forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly winds and a 30% rain chance for Metro Manila on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal May baseline of 33–35°C under strong solar insolation. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, closely followed by 35°C at 33%, as traders weigh the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport against potential sea-breeze moderation or brief convective cooling. Historical May observations show frequent 34–36°C peaks when high-pressure ridges suppress moisture, yet model divergence on exact timing of any cloud buildup keeps the 33°C outcome viable at 21.5%. Updated guidance tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
5月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
34°C 36%
35°C 30%
33°C 21%
36°C 10.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
21%
34°C
36%
35°C
30%
36°C
10%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 36%
35°C 30%
33°C 21%
36°C 10.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
29°C或以下
$1,013 交易量
<1%
30°C
$113 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,083 交易量
<1%
32°C
$964 交易量
5%
33°C
$757 交易量
21%
34°C
$469 交易量
36%
35°C
$290 交易量
30%
36°C
$1,010 交易量
10%
37°C
$393 交易量
1%
38°C
$343 交易量
1%
39°C或更高
$305 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extended forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly winds and a 30% rain chance for Metro Manila on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal May baseline of 33–35°C under strong solar insolation. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, closely followed by 35°C at 33%, as traders weigh the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport against potential sea-breeze moderation or brief convective cooling. Historical May observations show frequent 34–36°C peaks when high-pressure ridges suppress moisture, yet model divergence on exact timing of any cloud buildup keeps the 33°C outcome viable at 21.5%. Updated guidance tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$6,718结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent extended forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly winds and a 30% rain chance for Metro Manila on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal May baseline of 33–35°C under strong solar insolation. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, closely followed by 35°C at 33%, as traders weigh the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport against potential sea-breeze moderation or brief convective cooling. Historical May observations show frequent 34–36°C peaks when high-pressure ridges suppress moisture, yet model divergence on exact timing of any cloud buildup keeps the 33°C outcome viable at 21.5%. Updated guidance tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,718结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent extended forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate partly cloudy skies with moderate easterly winds and a 30% rain chance for Metro Manila on May 18, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal May baseline of 33–35°C under strong solar insolation. This positions 34°C as the market leader at 37.5% implied probability, closely followed by 35°C at 33%, as traders weigh the urban heat island effect at Ninoy Aquino International Airport against potential sea-breeze moderation or brief convective cooling. Historical May observations show frequent 34–36°C peaks when high-pressure ridges suppress moisture, yet model divergence on exact timing of any cloud buildup keeps the 33°C outcome viable at 21.5%. Updated guidance tonight will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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