Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects Miami’s daytime high in the upper 80s today under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the dominant outcomes because typical May insolation, combined with moderating sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity, usually caps afternoon temperatures near the seasonal average of 85 °F. Recent model runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push readings into the low 90s, keeping higher brackets at minimal implied probability. Updated forecasts released this morning continue to align with climatological norms for the region, reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-80s range while leaving modest uncertainty tied to possible isolated thunderstorm timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日迈阿密气温最高?
84-85°F 55%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 6.3%
90-91°F <1%
$76,491 交易量
$76,491 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
55%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
84-85°F 55%
86-87°F 37%
88-89°F 6.3%
90-91°F <1%
$76,491 交易量
$76,491 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
55%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance projects Miami’s daytime high in the upper 80s today under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This positions the 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F brackets as the dominant outcomes because typical May insolation, combined with moderating sea-breeze circulation and elevated humidity, usually caps afternoon temperatures near the seasonal average of 85 °F. Recent model runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow that would push readings into the low 90s, keeping higher brackets at minimal implied probability. Updated forecasts released this morning continue to align with climatological norms for the region, reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-80s range while leaving modest uncertainty tied to possible isolated thunderstorm timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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