National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely peaking in the upper 80s due to moderate humidity and southeasterly winds limiting extreme surface heating. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average highs hover near 85°F, while recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures below 90°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 86–87°F and 36.5% for 88–89°F incorporates these atmospheric conditions, though small shifts in cloud cover or timing of sea breezes remain key variables that could adjust outcomes before official resolution from Miami International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日迈阿密气温最高？
5月17日迈阿密气温最高？
86-87°F 75%
88-89°F 26.1%
84-85°F 1.0%
90-91°F <1%
$99,439 交易量
$99,439 交易量
2026-05-17
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
75%
88-89°F
26%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 75%
88-89°F 26.1%
84-85°F 1.0%
90-91°F <1%
$99,439 交易量
$99,439 交易量
2026-05-17
75°F或以下
$646 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,522 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,576 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$22,724 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$17,879 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$26,420 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$7,849 交易量
75%
88-89°F
$8,217 交易量
26%
90-91°F
$4,820 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$6,638 交易量
<1%
94华氏度或更高
$3,288 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely peaking in the upper 80s due to moderate humidity and southeasterly winds limiting extreme surface heating. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average highs hover near 85°F, while recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures below 90°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 86–87°F and 36.5% for 88–89°F incorporates these atmospheric conditions, though small shifts in cloud cover or timing of sea breezes remain key variables that could adjust outcomes before official resolution from Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$99,439结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely peaking in the upper 80s due to moderate humidity and southeasterly winds limiting extreme surface heating. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average highs hover near 85°F, while recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures below 90°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 86–87°F and 36.5% for 88–89°F incorporates these atmospheric conditions, though small shifts in cloud cover or timing of sea breezes remain key variables that could adjust outcomes before official resolution from Miami International Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$99,439结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance currently point to partly cloudy skies over Miami today, with daytime highs likely peaking in the upper 80s due to moderate humidity and southeasterly winds limiting extreme surface heating. This aligns with typical May climatology, where average highs hover near 85°F, while recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures below 90°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 64.5% implied probability for 86–87°F and 36.5% for 88–89°F incorporates these atmospheric conditions, though small shifts in cloud cover or timing of sea breezes remain key variables that could adjust outcomes before official resolution from Miami International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题