Traders assign near-certainty to a 20°C high in Moscow on August 15 because official station observations and real-time meteorological data have already confirmed this exact daily maximum. Stable atmospheric conditions, including a dominant high-pressure ridge and minimal diurnal variation, produced readings that align precisely with this threshold under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect this verified observational consensus rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an official post-day correction from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service or a redefinition of the observation window, both of which remain low-probability given established verification procedures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日莫斯科最高气温？
8月15日莫斯科最高气温？
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,393 交易量
$33,393 交易量
2026-08-15
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,393 交易量
$33,393 交易量
2026-08-15
15°C or below
$715 交易量
No
16°C
$437 交易量
No
17°C
$1,800 交易量
No
18°C
$2,240 交易量
No
19°C
$12,487 交易量
No
20°C
$7,400 交易量
Yes
21°C
$4,068 交易量
No
22°C
$2,083 交易量
No
23°C
$1,226 交易量
No
24°C
$645 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$291 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 20°C high in Moscow on August 15 because official station observations and real-time meteorological data have already confirmed this exact daily maximum. Stable atmospheric conditions, including a dominant high-pressure ridge and minimal diurnal variation, produced readings that align precisely with this threshold under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect this verified observational consensus rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an official post-day correction from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service or a redefinition of the observation window, both of which remain low-probability given established verification procedures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$33,393结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 20°C high in Moscow on August 15 because official station observations and real-time meteorological data have already confirmed this exact daily maximum. Stable atmospheric conditions, including a dominant high-pressure ridge and minimal diurnal variation, produced readings that align precisely with this threshold under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect this verified observational consensus rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an official post-day correction from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service or a redefinition of the observation window, both of which remain low-probability given established verification procedures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,393结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 20°C high in Moscow on August 15 because official station observations and real-time meteorological data have already confirmed this exact daily maximum. Stable atmospheric conditions, including a dominant high-pressure ridge and minimal diurnal variation, produced readings that align precisely with this threshold under standard World Meteorological Organization protocols. The overwhelming market-implied odds reflect this verified observational consensus rather than model projections. A realistic challenge would require an official post-day correction from the Russian Hydrometeorological Service or a redefinition of the observation window, both of which remain low-probability given established verification procedures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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