Recent forecasts from multiple agencies, including Yandex Weather and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Moscow on September 20 under stable high-pressure conditions with southwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors modest warming above the long-term average high of 15.4°C, driven by advection of milder air masses rather than strong solar heating alone. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C because small differences in forecast timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact high by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low given limited moisture and lack of frontal systems. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日莫斯科最高气温？
9月20日莫斯科最高气温？
20°C 40%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
21%
19°C
16%
20°C
26%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
8%
20°C 40%
21°C 22%
18°C 21%
22°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$100 交易量
4%
17°C
$2 交易量
15%
18°C
$0 交易量
21%
19°C
$22 交易量
16%
20°C
$9 交易量
26%
21°C
$29 交易量
22%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies, including Yandex Weather and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Moscow on September 20 under stable high-pressure conditions with southwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors modest warming above the long-term average high of 15.4°C, driven by advection of milder air masses rather than strong solar heating alone. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C because small differences in forecast timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact high by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low given limited moisture and lack of frontal systems. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$162结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies, including Yandex Weather and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Moscow on September 20 under stable high-pressure conditions with southwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors modest warming above the long-term average high of 15.4°C, driven by advection of milder air masses rather than strong solar heating alone. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C because small differences in forecast timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact high by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low given limited moisture and lack of frontal systems. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$162结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple agencies, including Yandex Weather and the Met Office, converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C for Moscow on September 20 under stable high-pressure conditions with southwesterly winds of 3–4 m/s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup favors modest warming above the long-term average high of 15.4°C, driven by advection of milder air masses rather than strong solar heating alone. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C because small differences in forecast timing of peak insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact high by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low given limited moisture and lack of frontal systems. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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