Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's August 9 maximum near 32–34°C under building high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 35.5% and 34°C at 28.5%, reflect traders' weighting of small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-average warmth relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 23–25°C stems from this synoptic setup rather than broader seasonal trends. Resolution will hinge on official station readings once the day ends, with any late forecast adjustments from the next model cycles likely to tighten probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月9日慕尼黑的最高温度？
33°C 36%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
18%
33°C
36%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 36%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C or below
$2,069 交易量
1%
28°C
$12 交易量
1%
29°C
$2 交易量
2%
30°C
$2 交易量
2%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$66 交易量
18%
33°C
$10 交易量
36%
34°C
$7 交易量
29%
35°C
$0 交易量
5%
36°C
$12 交易量
2%
37°C or higher
$12 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's August 9 maximum near 32–34°C under building high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 35.5% and 34°C at 28.5%, reflect traders' weighting of small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-average warmth relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 23–25°C stems from this synoptic setup rather than broader seasonal trends. Resolution will hinge on official station readings once the day ends, with any late forecast adjustments from the next model cycles likely to tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,191结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's August 9 maximum near 32–34°C under building high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 35.5% and 34°C at 28.5%, reflect traders' weighting of small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-average warmth relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 23–25°C stems from this synoptic setup rather than broader seasonal trends. Resolution will hinge on official station readings once the day ends, with any late forecast adjustments from the next model cycles likely to tighten probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,191结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's August 9 maximum near 32–34°C under building high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime heating. Market-implied odds, with 33°C leading at 35.5% and 34°C at 28.5%, reflect traders' weighting of small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Above-average warmth relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 23–25°C stems from this synoptic setup rather than broader seasonal trends. Resolution will hinge on official station readings once the day ends, with any late forecast adjustments from the next model cycles likely to tighten probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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