Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Munich today, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that curbs daytime heating while holding temperatures above seasonal lows. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 15°C at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of limited warming potential under stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May averages around 17–19°C provide context, yet today’s setup favors the lower end of the typical range due to suppressed insolation and northerly advection. Updated model runs and official monitoring through the afternoon will determine final resolution against precise thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日慕尼黑最高温度?
16°C 56%
15°C 40%
17°C 7%
18°C 1.1%
$29,240 交易量
$29,240 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
40%
16°C
56%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
15°C 40%
17°C 7%
18°C 1.1%
$29,240 交易量
$29,240 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
40%
16°C
56%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C for Munich today, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that curbs daytime heating while holding temperatures above seasonal lows. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 59.5% implied probability, followed by 15°C at 30%, reflecting trader assessment of limited warming potential under stable atmospheric conditions. Historical May averages around 17–19°C provide context, yet today’s setup favors the lower end of the typical range due to suppressed insolation and northerly advection. Updated model runs and official monitoring through the afternoon will determine final resolution against precise thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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