Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Munich under a cool polar air mass with persistent cloud cover and limited solar heating. This setup has kept surface temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C, aligning with observed morning readings and light southerly winds that cap further warming. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 16°C reflects this tight model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing that would allow brief spikes. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon break in clouds or a faster advection of milder air, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation before resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日慕尼黑最高温度?
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$45,898 交易量
$45,898 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$45,898 交易量
$45,898 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, converge on a daytime maximum of 16°C for Munich under a cool polar air mass with persistent cloud cover and limited solar heating. This setup has kept surface temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C, aligning with observed morning readings and light southerly winds that cap further warming. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 16°C reflects this tight model agreement and the low likelihood of rapid clearing that would allow brief spikes. Realistic challenges include an unexpected afternoon break in clouds or a faster advection of milder air, though current guidance leaves little room for deviation before resolution against official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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