National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site for this market, under mostly clear skies that enhance solar insolation and afternoon surface heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum insolation among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM runs create the tight spread between the leading 88–89°F (38.5%) and 86–87°F (33.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect limited potential for stronger warming. These forecasts align with typical mid-May climatology for the New York area, where diurnal heating peaks under high pressure but remains sensitive to small changes in wind and cloud cover before resolution later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市5月17日的最高温度？
纽约市5月17日的最高温度？
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 16.4%
84-85°F 13%
$51,627 交易量
$51,627 交易量
2026-05-17
79华氏度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F或更高
<1%
88-89°F 39%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 16.4%
84-85°F 13%
$51,627 交易量
$51,627 交易量
2026-05-17
79华氏度或以下
$9,189 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$6,488 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$4,845 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$5,176 交易量
13%
86-87°F
$5,727 交易量
34%
88-89°F
$3,332 交易量
39%
90-91°F
$4,050 交易量
16%
92-93°F
$2,986 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$3,643 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$3,527 交易量
<1%
98°F或更高
$3,054 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site for this market, under mostly clear skies that enhance solar insolation and afternoon surface heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum insolation among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM runs create the tight spread between the leading 88–89°F (38.5%) and 86–87°F (33.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect limited potential for stronger warming. These forecasts align with typical mid-May climatology for the New York area, where diurnal heating peaks under high pressure but remains sensitive to small changes in wind and cloud cover before resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$51,627结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site for this market, under mostly clear skies that enhance solar insolation and afternoon surface heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum insolation among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM runs create the tight spread between the leading 88–89°F (38.5%) and 86–87°F (33.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect limited potential for stronger warming. These forecasts align with typical mid-May climatology for the New York area, where diurnal heating peaks under high pressure but remains sensitive to small changes in wind and cloud cover before resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,627结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNational Weather Service model ensembles currently converge on a peak temperature of 85–88°F at LaGuardia Airport, the official resolution site for this market, under mostly clear skies that enhance solar insolation and afternoon surface heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the precise timing of maximum insolation among the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM runs create the tight spread between the leading 88–89°F (38.5%) and 86–87°F (33.5%) outcomes, while lower probabilities for 90°F-plus reflect limited potential for stronger warming. These forecasts align with typical mid-May climatology for the New York area, where diurnal heating peaks under high pressure but remains sensitive to small changes in wind and cloud cover before resolution later today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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