Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日圣保罗的最高温度？
5月17日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 76.2%
23°C or higher 25%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,593 交易量
$51,593 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
67%
23°C or higher
34%
22°C 76.2%
23°C or higher 25%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,593 交易量
$51,593 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$2,459 交易量
<1%
14°C
$710 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,223 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,471 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,226 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,599 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,217 交易量
<1%
20°C
$7,932 交易量
<1%
21°C
$14,104 交易量
<1%
22°C
$8,203 交易量
67%
23°C or higher
$8,523 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$51,593结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$51,593结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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