Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations, including Inmet data, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on September 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Persistent cool, cloudy, and rainy conditions throughout early September—marked by record rainfall volumes exceeding historical averages—suppressed daytime heating and kept highs well below seasonal norms around 23–26°C. Model runs and station reports converged on this range, with minimal divergence in final verified readings. Resolution depends on the highest confirmed hourly or daily peak from authoritative sources; minor station discrepancies or data revisions remain the primary realistic variables that could alter outcomes, though strong observational agreement limits such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月15日圣保罗的最高温度？
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$25,684 交易量
$25,684 交易量
2026-09-15
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
20°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$25,684 交易量
$25,684 交易量
2026-09-15
15°C或以下
$1,799 交易量
否
16°C
$1,859 交易量
否
17°C
$1,377 交易量
否
18°C
$2,227 交易量
否
19°C
$2,213 交易量
否
20°C
$4,839 交易量
是
21°C
$2,531 交易量
否
22°C
$3,464 交易量
否
23°C
$2,007 交易量
否
24°C
$1,878 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$1,489 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations, including Inmet data, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on September 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Persistent cool, cloudy, and rainy conditions throughout early September—marked by record rainfall volumes exceeding historical averages—suppressed daytime heating and kept highs well below seasonal norms around 23–26°C. Model runs and station reports converged on this range, with minimal divergence in final verified readings. Resolution depends on the highest confirmed hourly or daily peak from authoritative sources; minor station discrepancies or data revisions remain the primary realistic variables that could alter outcomes, though strong observational agreement limits such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$25,684结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations, including Inmet data, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on September 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Persistent cool, cloudy, and rainy conditions throughout early September—marked by record rainfall volumes exceeding historical averages—suppressed daytime heating and kept highs well below seasonal norms around 23–26°C. Model runs and station reports converged on this range, with minimal divergence in final verified readings. Resolution depends on the highest confirmed hourly or daily peak from authoritative sources; minor station discrepancies or data revisions remain the primary realistic variables that could alter outcomes, though strong observational agreement limits such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,684结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations, including Inmet data, recorded a daily maximum of 20°C on September 15, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certain implied probability. Persistent cool, cloudy, and rainy conditions throughout early September—marked by record rainfall volumes exceeding historical averages—suppressed daytime heating and kept highs well below seasonal norms around 23–26°C. Model runs and station reports converged on this range, with minimal divergence in final verified readings. Resolution depends on the highest confirmed hourly or daily peak from authoritative sources; minor station discrepancies or data revisions remain the primary realistic variables that could alter outcomes, though strong observational agreement limits such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题