Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate Seoul will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This alignment of ensemble guidance and real-time observations has produced near-certain trader consensus at the 25°C outcome. Historical May averages for the city center near 23–24°C provide supporting context, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid frontal passage. Any shift in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecasted sea-breeze reinforcement could still alter the final verified reading before markets resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日首尔气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,732 交易量
$231,732 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$231,732 交易量
$231,732 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF indicate Seoul will reach a daily maximum of 25°C on May 17 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This alignment of ensemble guidance and real-time observations has produced near-certain trader consensus at the 25°C outcome. Historical May averages for the city center near 23–24°C provide supporting context, with minimal deviation expected absent rapid frontal passage. Any shift in afternoon cloud cover or an unforecasted sea-breeze reinforcement could still alter the final verified reading before markets resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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