China Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observational data have driven the market's firm consensus on a 29°C high for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, reflecting consistent model outputs for peak daytime temperatures amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Official monitoring stations track maximum readings via standardized instruments, with current conditions aligning closely to this threshold rather than higher or lower extremes. Traders' capital-backed consensus incorporates climatological baselines for mid-August, where averages hover near 31°C but recent patterns favor moderation. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecast precipitation could still alter the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海气温最高？
8月16日上海气温最高？
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,059 交易量
$150,059 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,059 交易量
$150,059 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
$324 交易量
No
26°C
$1,293 交易量
No
27°C
$7,499 交易量
No
28°C
$46,624 交易量
No
29°C
$32,817 交易量
Yes
30°C
$26,962 交易量
No
31°C
$20,050 交易量
No
32°C
$8,316 交易量
No
33°C
$4,234 交易量
No
34°C
$1,587 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$353 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.China Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observational data have driven the market's firm consensus on a 29°C high for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, reflecting consistent model outputs for peak daytime temperatures amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Official monitoring stations track maximum readings via standardized instruments, with current conditions aligning closely to this threshold rather than higher or lower extremes. Traders' capital-backed consensus incorporates climatological baselines for mid-August, where averages hover near 31°C but recent patterns favor moderation. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecast precipitation could still alter the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$150,059结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.China Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observational data have driven the market's firm consensus on a 29°C high for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, reflecting consistent model outputs for peak daytime temperatures amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Official monitoring stations track maximum readings via standardized instruments, with current conditions aligning closely to this threshold rather than higher or lower extremes. Traders' capital-backed consensus incorporates climatological baselines for mid-August, where averages hover near 31°C but recent patterns favor moderation. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecast precipitation could still alter the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$150,059结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
China Meteorological Administration forecasts and real-time observational data have driven the market's firm consensus on a 29°C high for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, reflecting consistent model outputs for peak daytime temperatures amid typical summer humidity and light winds. Official monitoring stations track maximum readings via standardized instruments, with current conditions aligning closely to this threshold rather than higher or lower extremes. Traders' capital-backed consensus incorporates climatological baselines for mid-August, where averages hover near 31°C but recent patterns favor moderation. A sudden shift in steering patterns or unforecast precipitation could still alter the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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