The market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡5月17日的最高温度?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 交易量
$94,721 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 交易量
$94,721 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market's decisive 100% implied probability for a 32°C daily maximum in Singapore on May 17 stems from official National Environment Agency forecasts projecting that exact peak under prevailing inter-monsoon conditions. May ranks as Singapore's warmest month climatologically, with historical average highs near 32°C driven by light winds, high humidity, and afternoon convective activity. Recent observations show maxima consistently between 32°C and 35°C, aligning with model consensus for today. Minor variations in cloud cover or thundery shower timing could shift the recorded high by 1–2°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such deviations unlikely before the final official measurement is confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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