Trader consensus on the Polymarket has locked in 32°C as Singapore’s highest temperature for May 17 because official observations from the National Environment Agency and regional forecast models show the daily maximum stabilizing at that level under typical May conditions. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating have produced a classic diurnal cycle with afternoon peaks near 32°C, matching long-term climatological averages for the month and recent model runs that show minimal deviation. With resolution imminent, the narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major instrumentation error could shift the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given current stability in the equatorial monsoon regime.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡5月17日的最高温度?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 交易量
$94,721 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$94,721 交易量
$94,721 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on the Polymarket has locked in 32°C as Singapore’s highest temperature for May 17 because official observations from the National Environment Agency and regional forecast models show the daily maximum stabilizing at that level under typical May conditions. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating have produced a classic diurnal cycle with afternoon peaks near 32°C, matching long-term climatological averages for the month and recent model runs that show minimal deviation. With resolution imminent, the narrow uncertainty band leaves little room for alternative outcomes. Only an unseasonal cold surge or major instrumentation error could shift the recorded high, both of which remain statistically improbable given current stability in the equatorial monsoon regime.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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