Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日特拉维夫最高气温？
5月17日特拉维夫最高气温？
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,136 交易量
$71,136 交易量
2026-05-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,136 交易量
$71,136 交易量
2026-05-17
25°C or below
$10,465 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,768 交易量
<1%
27°C
$4,332 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,408 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,721 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,317 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,087 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,955 交易量
<1%
33°C
$7,898 交易量
<1%
34°C
$8,892 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$14,293 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$71,136结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$71,136结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, pushing the market-implied probability for a 35°C or higher maximum in Tel Aviv on May 17 to 99.9%. Clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation are expected to drive rapid surface warming well above the seasonal climatological range of 26–28°C, following cooler readings near 24–25°C on May 15–16. Official observations at Ben Gurion International Airport will determine the exact peak for resolution. A sudden strengthening of onshore winds or an earlier-than-expected model shift could cap temperatures below the threshold, though current data consensus leaves little room for such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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