Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日特拉维夫最高气温?
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,161 交易量
$71,161 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 99.8%
34°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$71,161 交易量
$71,161 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv will reach or exceed 35°C on May 17, driven by a strong high-pressure ridge and southeasterly flow transporting hot, dry air from inland desert regions. This setup aligns with historical May climatology, where maximums average near 28°C but have trended higher in recent years amid broader regional warming patterns. Ensemble models show tight agreement on afternoon highs well above 34°C, with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation expected under the current synoptic conditions. While sudden wind shifts or increased humidity could temper readings by a degree or two, the current data strongly support the market's near-certain outcome for the 35°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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