Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with dew points near 20°C and minimal cloud cover. This places 32°C as the most probable outcome under standard observational criteria at the central station, while a modest 25% market-implied probability for 33°C accounts for possible local microclimate variations or slight model warming in the afternoon. No anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns have altered the baseline seasonal expectation of highs near 30–32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日特拉维夫最高气温?
32℃ 72%
33°C 26%
31°C 1.1%
34°C <1%
$17,193 交易量
$17,193 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃
72%
33°C
26%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
32℃ 72%
33°C 26%
31°C 1.1%
34°C <1%
$17,193 交易量
$17,193 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃
72%
33°C
26%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with dew points near 20°C and minimal cloud cover. This places 32°C as the most probable outcome under standard observational criteria at the central station, while a modest 25% market-implied probability for 33°C accounts for possible local microclimate variations or slight model warming in the afternoon. No anomalous heat advection or blocking patterns have altered the baseline seasonal expectation of highs near 30–32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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