Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日华沙的最高温度？
9月12日华沙的最高温度？
19°C 49%
20°C 36%
18°C 11%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
49%
20°C
36%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 49%
20°C 36%
18°C 11%
17°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$170 交易量
1%
16°C
$31 交易量
2%
17°C
$122 交易量
3%
18°C
$1,092 交易量
11%
19°C
$832 交易量
49%
20°C
$2,062 交易量
36%
21°C
$300 交易量
2%
22°C
$48 交易量
2%
23°C
$145 交易量
1%
24°C
$105 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$437 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,196结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,196结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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