**Trader consensus at 100% for a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 21, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Multiple models, including data aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project daytime maxima of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity near 70–80%. These values match August normals of roughly 31°C highs and reflect the absence of any strong cooling mechanisms such as persistent cloud cover or northerly surges. Afternoon heat indices often exceed actual air temperatures, reinforcing the likelihood that the official maximum will meet or surpass the 32°C threshold. Only an unusually rapid cooling front—rare this late in the season—could realistically push the peak below that level before observations finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日郑州气温最高？
8月21日郑州气温最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$195 交易量
<1%
23°C
$195 交易量
<1%
24°C
$195 交易量
<1%
25°C
$185 交易量
<1%
26°C
$116 交易量
<1%
27°C
$135 交易量
<1%
28°C
$345 交易量
<1%
29°C
$642 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,252 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,193 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,278 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 21, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Multiple models, including data aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project daytime maxima of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity near 70–80%. These values match August normals of roughly 31°C highs and reflect the absence of any strong cooling mechanisms such as persistent cloud cover or northerly surges. Afternoon heat indices often exceed actual air temperatures, reinforcing the likelihood that the official maximum will meet or surpass the 32°C threshold. Only an unusually rapid cooling front—rare this late in the season—could realistically push the peak below that level before observations finalize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,731结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 21, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Multiple models, including data aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project daytime maxima of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity near 70–80%. These values match August normals of roughly 31°C highs and reflect the absence of any strong cooling mechanisms such as persistent cloud cover or northerly surges. Afternoon heat indices often exceed actual air temperatures, reinforcing the likelihood that the official maximum will meet or surpass the 32°C threshold. Only an unusually rapid cooling front—rare this late in the season—could realistically push the peak below that level before observations finalize.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,731结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Trader consensus at 100% for a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 21, 2026, aligns with official forecasts and long-term climatology.** Multiple models, including data aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project daytime maxima of 30–32°C (86–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and high humidity near 70–80%. These values match August normals of roughly 31°C highs and reflect the absence of any strong cooling mechanisms such as persistent cloud cover or northerly surges. Afternoon heat indices often exceed actual air temperatures, reinforcing the likelihood that the official maximum will meet or surpass the 32°C threshold. Only an unusually rapid cooling front—rare this late in the season—could realistically push the peak below that level before observations finalize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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