**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日郑州气温最高？
8月31日郑州气温最高？
32°C or higher 97%
30°C 19%
31°C 5%
29°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
89%
32°C or higher 97%
30°C 19%
31°C 5%
29°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$85 交易量
<1%
23°C
$80 交易量
<1%
24°C
$69 交易量
<1%
25°C
$69 交易量
<1%
26°C
$69 交易量
<1%
27°C
$69 交易量
<1%
28°C
$69 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C
$108 交易量
5%
32°C or higher
$885 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover.
August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins.
Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,505结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover.
August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins.
Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,505结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 31, 2026, consistently project a sunny or mostly clear day with highs in the low-to-mid 30s °C.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (89°F/32°C), Yr.no (32°C), WindBorne (34°C), Ventusky (~33°C), and the Met Office (34°C), indicate strong daytime heating under light northeast winds and minimal cloud cover. August has featured above-normal temperatures across Henan, with earlier peaks reaching 35°C amid subtropical high pressure maintaining hot, humid conditions. As this ridge begins to ease, recent shifts toward drier air and clearer skies are sustaining elevated maxima rather than triggering rapid cooling. Historical late-August baselines for Zhengzhou hover near 30–32°C, and the absence of significant frontal passages or increased cloudiness supports the market-implied odds favoring 32°C or higher (57.5%) over lower bins. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from global models showing peak solar insolation and stable high-pressure steering, with limited downside risk from precipitation or northerly advection in the immediate forecast window. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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