Weather forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 30 show ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS converging on a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Trader consensus on 30°C (34%) edging 31°C (28%) reflects minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, where concrete surfaces can add 1–2°C locally. Recent satellite imagery and surface observations indicate stable high pressure suppressing strong convection, though afternoon humidity around 60–70% could limit peak warming if cloud build-up increases. Historical August averages for the city hover near 29–30°C, with 32°C+ outcomes (10.5%) requiring a sharper ridge and clear skies that current runs do not strongly support. Updated model cycles tonight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日郑州气温最高?
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
13%
30°C
34%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
11%
30°C 34%
31°C 29%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
13%
30°C
34%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Weather forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 30 show ensemble models from the China Meteorological Administration and global systems like ECMWF and GFS converging on a daily maximum near 30–31°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Trader consensus on 30°C (34%) edging 31°C (28%) reflects minor spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, where concrete surfaces can add 1–2°C locally. Recent satellite imagery and surface observations indicate stable high pressure suppressing strong convection, though afternoon humidity around 60–70% could limit peak warming if cloud build-up increases. Historical August averages for the city hover near 29–30°C, with 32°C+ outcomes (10.5%) requiring a sharper ridge and clear skies that current runs do not strongly support. Updated model cycles tonight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题