Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 9, driven by a mix of subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture that favors partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact maxima, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or scattered showers can shift the high by 1–2°C, which explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 30°C and 32°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the region centers on highs of 31–33°C, providing a baseline that current guidance aligns with closely. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of August 8 will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日郑州气温最高？
8月9日郑州气温最高？
31°C 43%
32°C or higher 34%
30°C 27%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
27%
31°C
43%
32°C or higher
34%
31°C 43%
32°C or higher 34%
30°C 27%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
22°C or below
$85 交易量
<1%
23°C
$13 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13 交易量
1%
25°C
$29 交易量
1%
26°C
$29 交易量
1%
27°C
$33 交易量
11%
28°C
$28 交易量
8%
29°C
$127 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
27%
31°C
$10 交易量
43%
32°C or higher
$11 交易量
34%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 9, driven by a mix of subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture that favors partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact maxima, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or scattered showers can shift the high by 1–2°C, which explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 30°C and 32°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the region centers on highs of 31–33°C, providing a baseline that current guidance aligns with closely. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of August 8 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$377结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 9, driven by a mix of subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture that favors partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact maxima, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or scattered showers can shift the high by 1–2°C, which explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 30°C and 32°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the region centers on highs of 31–33°C, providing a baseline that current guidance aligns with closely. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of August 8 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$377结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 9, driven by a mix of subtropical high pressure and monsoon moisture that favors partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty around exact maxima, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, or scattered showers can shift the high by 1–2°C, which explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly between 30°C and 32°C or higher. Historical August climatology for the region centers on highs of 31–33°C, providing a baseline that current guidance aligns with closely. Updated model runs and observational data through the evening of August 8 will refine the final resolution range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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