Kansas voters have consistently favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the state delivering a 16-point margin for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential contest and maintaining GOP control of three House seats plus statewide offices. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall benefits from this structural advantage and his established fundraising edge as he seeks a second term, leading forecasters to rate the contest solid Republican. A fragmented Democratic primary field featuring multiple candidates, including business owners and former officials, has produced no clear frontrunner with broad appeal or resources to narrow the gap. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflected in current pricing underscores limited Democratic prospects absent a major shift in state dynamics or candidate emergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
18%
$28,102 交易量
$28,102 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,846 交易量
81%
民主党
$11,256 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters have consistently favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the state delivering a 16-point margin for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential contest and maintaining GOP control of three House seats plus statewide offices. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall benefits from this structural advantage and his established fundraising edge as he seeks a second term, leading forecasters to rate the contest solid Republican. A fragmented Democratic primary field featuring multiple candidates, including business owners and former officials, has produced no clear frontrunner with broad appeal or resources to narrow the gap. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflected in current pricing underscores limited Democratic prospects absent a major shift in state dynamics or candidate emergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters have consistently favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the state delivering a 16-point margin for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential contest and maintaining GOP control of three House seats plus statewide offices. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall benefits from this structural advantage and his established fundraising edge as he seeks a second term, leading forecasters to rate the contest solid Republican. A fragmented Democratic primary field featuring multiple candidates, including business owners and former officials, has produced no clear frontrunner with broad appeal or resources to narrow the gap. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflected in current pricing underscores limited Democratic prospects absent a major shift in state dynamics or candidate emergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$28,102结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas voters have consistently favored Republican candidates in federal races, with the state delivering a 16-point margin for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential contest and maintaining GOP control of three House seats plus statewide offices. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall benefits from this structural advantage and his established fundraising edge as he seeks a second term, leading forecasters to rate the contest solid Republican. A fragmented Democratic primary field featuring multiple candidates, including business owners and former officials, has produced no clear frontrunner with broad appeal or resources to narrow the gap. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflected in current pricing underscores limited Democratic prospects absent a major shift in state dynamics or candidate emergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题