Former Kentucky State Sen. Ralph Alvarado commands 93.7% trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary set for May 19, propelled by President Trump's May 1 endorsement labeling him a MAGA ally, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's April 29 backing, and Adam Perez Arquette's May 12 withdrawal with an endorsement consolidating support. A May 4-7 poll showed Alvarado leading at 38% amid strong fundraising, but these developments have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr. Challengers like Ryan Dotson trail far behind; late-breaking scandals, negative ads, or unexpected turnout surges in the final days could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high with early voting underway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多 93.7%
亚当·佩雷斯·阿奎特 3.6%
加文·所罗门 2.6%
格雷格·普卢钦斯基 <1%
$24,434 交易量
$24,434 交易量
2026-05-19
拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多
94%
亚当·佩雷斯·阿奎特
4%
加文·所罗门
3%
格雷格·普卢钦斯基
1%
瑞恩·多特森
1%
拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多 93.7%
亚当·佩雷斯·阿奎特 3.6%
加文·所罗门 2.6%
格雷格·普卢钦斯基 <1%
$24,434 交易量
$24,434 交易量
2026-05-19
拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多
$11,110 交易量
94%
亚当·佩雷斯·阿奎特
$1,792 交易量
4%
加文·所罗门
$1,604 交易量
3%
格雷格·普卢钦斯基
$1,055 交易量
1%
瑞恩·多特森
$8,873 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Kentucky State Sen. Ralph Alvarado commands 93.7% trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary set for May 19, propelled by President Trump's May 1 endorsement labeling him a MAGA ally, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's April 29 backing, and Adam Perez Arquette's May 12 withdrawal with an endorsement consolidating support. A May 4-7 poll showed Alvarado leading at 38% amid strong fundraising, but these developments have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr. Challengers like Ryan Dotson trail far behind; late-breaking scandals, negative ads, or unexpected turnout surges in the final days could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high with early voting underway.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
交易量
$24,434结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Kentucky State Sen. Ralph Alvarado commands 93.7% trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary set for May 19, propelled by President Trump's May 1 endorsement labeling him a MAGA ally, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's April 29 backing, and Adam Perez Arquette's May 12 withdrawal with an endorsement consolidating support. A May 4-7 poll showed Alvarado leading at 38% amid strong fundraising, but these developments have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr. Challengers like Ryan Dotson trail far behind; late-breaking scandals, negative ads, or unexpected turnout surges in the final days could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high with early voting underway.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,434结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Kentucky State Sen. Ralph Alvarado commands 93.7% trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary set for May 19, propelled by President Trump's May 1 endorsement labeling him a MAGA ally, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's April 29 backing, and Adam Perez Arquette's May 12 withdrawal with an endorsement consolidating support. A May 4-7 poll showed Alvarado leading at 38% amid strong fundraising, but these developments have solidified his frontrunner status in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr. Challengers like Ryan Dotson trail far behind; late-breaking scandals, negative ads, or unexpected turnout surges in the final days could narrow the gap, though barriers remain high with early voting underway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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