Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District continues to favor Democratic outcomes due to its established partisan lean and voter demographics centered around New Orleans. Incumbent Troy Carter holds a substantial advantage in the Democratic primary against minor opposition, while the Republican primary was canceled after no candidates filed ahead of the May 2026 date suspended by redistricting litigation. This absence of a general-election Republican challenger reinforces the current trader consensus of an 87.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party and just 7.1% for the Republican Party heading into the November 2026 contest. Ongoing state-level map adjustments and Supreme Court review of Louisiana's congressional boundaries have not shifted these structural dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,772 交易量
$41,772 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
88%
共和党
7%
$41,772 交易量
$41,772 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$21,915 交易量
88%
共和党
$19,857 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District continues to favor Democratic outcomes due to its established partisan lean and voter demographics centered around New Orleans. Incumbent Troy Carter holds a substantial advantage in the Democratic primary against minor opposition, while the Republican primary was canceled after no candidates filed ahead of the May 2026 date suspended by redistricting litigation. This absence of a general-election Republican challenger reinforces the current trader consensus of an 87.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party and just 7.1% for the Republican Party heading into the November 2026 contest. Ongoing state-level map adjustments and Supreme Court review of Louisiana's congressional boundaries have not shifted these structural dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$41,772结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District continues to favor Democratic outcomes due to its established partisan lean and voter demographics centered around New Orleans. Incumbent Troy Carter holds a substantial advantage in the Democratic primary against minor opposition, while the Republican primary was canceled after no candidates filed ahead of the May 2026 date suspended by redistricting litigation. This absence of a general-election Republican challenger reinforces the current trader consensus of an 87.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party and just 7.1% for the Republican Party heading into the November 2026 contest. Ongoing state-level map adjustments and Supreme Court review of Louisiana's congressional boundaries have not shifted these structural dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,772结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District continues to favor Democratic outcomes due to its established partisan lean and voter demographics centered around New Orleans. Incumbent Troy Carter holds a substantial advantage in the Democratic primary against minor opposition, while the Republican primary was canceled after no candidates filed ahead of the May 2026 date suspended by redistricting litigation. This absence of a general-election Republican challenger reinforces the current trader consensus of an 87.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party and just 7.1% for the Republican Party heading into the November 2026 contest. Ongoing state-level map adjustments and Supreme Court review of Louisiana's congressional boundaries have not shifted these structural dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题