Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 22 in a narrow 12–14 °C range, producing the tight 43 % / 41 % split between 13 °C and 14 °C. Radiative cooling overnight under variable cloud cover, light westerly flow off the North Sea, and modest daytime heating near 20 °C keep the boundary layer stable, limiting further drops. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing climatological support for the current market-implied odds while underscoring the genuine short-range uncertainty that keeps several outcomes live until final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
8月22日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
13°C 43%
14°C 39%
15°C 19%
12°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
8°C or below
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
9%
11°C
9%
12°C
18%
13°C
43%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C或更高
2%
13°C 43%
14°C 39%
15°C 19%
12°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
8°C or below
$40 交易量
1%
9°C
$88 交易量
3%
10°C
$28 交易量
9%
11°C
$0 交易量
9%
12°C
$8 交易量
18%
13°C
$0 交易量
43%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$0 交易量
8%
17°C
$28 交易量
7%
18°C或更高
$28 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 22 in a narrow 12–14 °C range, producing the tight 43 % / 41 % split between 13 °C and 14 °C. Radiative cooling overnight under variable cloud cover, light westerly flow off the North Sea, and modest daytime heating near 20 °C keep the boundary layer stable, limiting further drops. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing climatological support for the current market-implied odds while underscoring the genuine short-range uncertainty that keeps several outcomes live until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
交易量
$219结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 22 in a narrow 12–14 °C range, producing the tight 43 % / 41 % split between 13 °C and 14 °C. Radiative cooling overnight under variable cloud cover, light westerly flow off the North Sea, and modest daytime heating near 20 °C keep the boundary layer stable, limiting further drops. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing climatological support for the current market-implied odds while underscoring the genuine short-range uncertainty that keeps several outcomes live until final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$219结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI place Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 22 in a narrow 12–14 °C range, producing the tight 43 % / 41 % split between 13 °C and 14 °C. Radiative cooling overnight under variable cloud cover, light westerly flow off the North Sea, and modest daytime heating near 20 °C keep the boundary layer stable, limiting further drops. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage and local urban-heat-island effects. Historical August minima average near 12–13 °C, providing climatological support for the current market-implied odds while underscoring the genuine short-range uncertainty that keeps several outcomes live until final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题