Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Beijing on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting it to minimums near 19–21°C amid typical early-September humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the historical average low of 18.8°C while recent stable high-pressure patterns suppress stronger cooling or frontal intrusions until midweek. Trader consensus clusters around 15–18°C because small variations in dew-point forecasts, wind speeds, or localized cloud cover can shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–3°C, with lower outcomes reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under drier air masses and higher ones tied to slight warming from southerly advection. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日北京最低气温?
13°C or below 79%
17°C 35%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
13°C or below
79%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
35%
18°C
25%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
24%
13°C or below 79%
17°C 35%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
13°C or below
79%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
35%
18°C
25%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Beijing on September 3, supporting radiative cooling overnight but limiting it to minimums near 19–21°C amid typical early-September humidity and urban heat retention. This aligns with the historical average low of 18.8°C while recent stable high-pressure patterns suppress stronger cooling or frontal intrusions until midweek. Trader consensus clusters around 15–18°C because small variations in dew-point forecasts, wind speeds, or localized cloud cover can shift the exact overnight minimum by 1–3°C, with lower outcomes reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under drier air masses and higher ones tied to slight warming from southerly advection. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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