Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日釜山气温最低?
23°C 60%
22°C 54%
25°C 34%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
54%
23°C
60%
24°C
21%
25°C
34%
26°C
60%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 60%
22°C 54%
25°C 34%
24°C 21%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
54%
23°C
60%
24°C
21%
25°C
34%
26°C
60%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in Busan around 24–26°C on August 21, driven by persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. Typical late-August conditions feature overnight lows near 24°C amid subtropical moisture, with any clearer intervals potentially allowing a dip toward 23°C while rain and urban heat retention favor 25–26°C readings at official stations. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble outputs, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical August baselines where minima rarely fall below 22°C without a strong frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance through the morning will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily minimum window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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