Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日芝加哥最低气温？
9月2日芝加哥最低气温？
82-83°F 59%
74-75°F 46%
76-77°F 46%
70-71°F 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
67°F或以下
7%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
46%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
59%
84-85°F
15%
86°F或更高
37%
82-83°F 59%
74-75°F 46%
76-77°F 46%
70-71°F 45%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
67°F或以下
$15 交易量
7%
68-69°F
$15 交易量
20%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
45%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
45%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
46%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
46%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
45%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
44%
82-83°F
$15 交易量
59%
84-85°F
$5 交易量
15%
86°F或更高
$5 交易量
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA and meteorological models indicate a persistent warm air mass advecting over Chicago via southwest winds, sustaining overnight lows near 78°F on September 2 amid elevated dew points that limit radiational cooling. This setup, with partly cloudy conditions and minimal frontal influence expected, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 70–79°F ranges. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as nocturnal cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor shifts in wind trajectory that could alter minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Upcoming model runs and National Weather Service updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections amid typical late-summer forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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