Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a minimum temperature near 80°F for Dallas on September 15, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear skies, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with the tight market split between the 92°F+ and 73°F-or-below bins while supporting the 80–81°F range at 43% implied probability. Upper-70s readings would require stronger radiational cooling or a brief wind shift, scenarios not currently favored in the latest GFS and NAM runs. Updated model guidance and official National Weather Service forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data releases that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日达拉斯最低气温？
9月15日达拉斯最低气温？
73华氏度或以下 61%
92°F或更高 60%
80-81°F 43%
74-75°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
73华氏度或以下
61%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79华氏度
39%
80-81°F
43%
82-83华氏度
22%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92°F或更高
60%
73华氏度或以下 61%
92°F或更高 60%
80-81°F 43%
74-75°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
73华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
61%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
39%
76-77°F
$105 交易量
39%
78-79华氏度
$0 交易量
39%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
43%
82-83华氏度
$0 交易量
22%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
39%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
18%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
17%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
17%
92°F或更高
$0 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a minimum temperature near 80°F for Dallas on September 15, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear skies, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with the tight market split between the 92°F+ and 73°F-or-below bins while supporting the 80–81°F range at 43% implied probability. Upper-70s readings would require stronger radiational cooling or a brief wind shift, scenarios not currently favored in the latest GFS and NAM runs. Updated model guidance and official National Weather Service forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data releases that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a minimum temperature near 80°F for Dallas on September 15, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear skies, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with the tight market split between the 92°F+ and 73°F-or-below bins while supporting the 80–81°F range at 43% implied probability. Upper-70s readings would require stronger radiational cooling or a brief wind shift, scenarios not currently favored in the latest GFS and NAM runs. Updated model guidance and official National Weather Service forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data releases that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETCurrent forecasts from NOAA and private models indicate a minimum temperature near 80°F for Dallas on September 15, driven by persistent southerly flow, clear skies, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under a strong high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with the tight market split between the 92°F+ and 73°F-or-below bins while supporting the 80–81°F range at 43% implied probability. Upper-70s readings would require stronger radiational cooling or a brief wind shift, scenarios not currently favored in the latest GFS and NAM runs. Updated model guidance and official National Weather Service forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data releases that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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