Forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the Finnish Meteorological Institute points to a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 25, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 12°C (35.5%), 10–11°C (28.5% each). Northerly winds and partly clear skies favor radiative cooling after sunset, while the Baltic Sea's moderating influence and recent mid-August cooling trend (recent lows near 11–12°C) keep probabilities clustered in that range. Slight model spread on cloud cover and wind speed creates uncertainty that differentiates 9°C from 12°C scenarios, with historical August 25 averages at 12.5°C providing context for the tight trader sentiment around these values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日赫尔辛基最低气温?
12°C 40%
9°C 36%
10°C 29%
11°C 28%
7°C或以下
9%
8°C
11%
9°C
36%
10°C
29%
11°C
28%
12°C
40%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C或更高
4%
12°C 40%
9°C 36%
10°C 29%
11°C 28%
7°C或以下
9%
8°C
11%
9°C
36%
10°C
29%
11°C
28%
12°C
40%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from models like those referenced by the Finnish Meteorological Institute points to a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 25, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 12°C (35.5%), 10–11°C (28.5% each). Northerly winds and partly clear skies favor radiative cooling after sunset, while the Baltic Sea's moderating influence and recent mid-August cooling trend (recent lows near 11–12°C) keep probabilities clustered in that range. Slight model spread on cloud cover and wind speed creates uncertainty that differentiates 9°C from 12°C scenarios, with historical August 25 averages at 12.5°C providing context for the tight trader sentiment around these values.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题