Recent forecasts for Helsinki's minimum temperature on September 1 show model spread centered near 12–14°C, with official guidance and ensemble runs placing the overnight low most likely between 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow clustering explains the tightly matched market probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling rates, and the precise strength of boundary-layer mixing from lingering post-frontal moisture after August 31 thunderstorms. Clearer conditions could push the low toward 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection would favor 13°C or higher. Historical climatology places the average low near 11–12°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest high-resolution model consensus ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日赫尔辛基最低气温?
18°C or higher 43%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
43%
18°C or higher 43%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
10°C 26%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
24%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
22%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Helsinki's minimum temperature on September 1 show model spread centered near 12–14°C, with official guidance and ensemble runs placing the overnight low most likely between 10–13°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This narrow clustering explains the tightly matched market probabilities around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in nocturnal cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling rates, and the precise strength of boundary-layer mixing from lingering post-frontal moisture after August 31 thunderstorms. Clearer conditions could push the low toward 10–11°C, while increased cloudiness or warmer advection would favor 13°C or higher. Historical climatology places the average low near 11–12°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against the latest high-resolution model consensus ahead of final verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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