Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late August 2026, with overnight minima most likely settling near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August climatology, where average lows hover around 26–28°C, and recent model consensus shows no strong cooling signals from tropical systems or fronts before August 22. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 27°C leading as the mode while lower or higher extremes remain discounted due to the low likelihood of unusual atmospheric stability or enhanced convection altering the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日香港最低气温？
8月22日香港最低气温？
27°C 46%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
22%
27°C
46%
28°C
22%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 46%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
22°C或以下
$760 交易量
<1%
23°C
$163 交易量
1%
24°C
$476 交易量
2%
25°C
$590 交易量
14%
26°C
$692 交易量
22%
27°C
$552 交易量
46%
28°C
$769 交易量
22%
29°C
$1,851 交易量
3%
30°C
$380 交易量
<1%
31°C
$501 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$516 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late August 2026, with overnight minima most likely settling near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August climatology, where average lows hover around 26–28°C, and recent model consensus shows no strong cooling signals from tropical systems or fronts before August 22. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 27°C leading as the mode while lower or higher extremes remain discounted due to the low likelihood of unusual atmospheric stability or enhanced convection altering the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$7,250结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late August 2026, with overnight minima most likely settling near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August climatology, where average lows hover around 26–28°C, and recent model consensus shows no strong cooling signals from tropical systems or fronts before August 22. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 27°C leading as the mode while lower or higher extremes remain discounted due to the low likelihood of unusual atmospheric stability or enhanced convection altering the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,250结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for late August 2026, with overnight minima most likely settling near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August climatology, where average lows hover around 26–28°C, and recent model consensus shows no strong cooling signals from tropical systems or fronts before August 22. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range, with 27°C leading as the mode while lower or higher extremes remain discounted due to the low likelihood of unusual atmospheric stability or enhanced convection altering the diurnal cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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