Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日济南最低气温?
22°C或更高 94%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C或以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C或更高
94%
22°C或更高 94%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C或以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C或更高
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center of China and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 17–18°C for Jinan on September 2, driven by clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light northeasterly flow, and seasonal radiative cooling typical of early autumn. This consensus, aligned with historical early-September climatology showing average lows of 16–20°C, underpins the clustered market probabilities around 15–19°C while the elevated weighting on 22°C or higher reflects residual model spread and potential for warmer boundary-layer mixing if winds strengthen slightly. With resolution occurring in under 24 hours, traders are closely tracking the next updated model runs for any shifts in minimum temperature guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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