Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by distant Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate humidity over Manila, anchoring the lowest temperature near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 26°C low on September 5 amid 100% rain probability and southwest winds, while global models show similar ranges without sharp cooling or warming signals. Historical September minima average around 25–26°C under comparable monsoon conditions, with rain suppressing diurnal extremes but rarely pushing below 24°C absent stronger systems. This equilibrium supports the tight market clustering around mid-20s outcomes, as traders weigh minor forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized rain timing against the stable atmospheric pattern expected through the weekend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日马尼拉的最低温度?
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
21%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
69%
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
23°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
21%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
30%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by distant Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and moderate humidity over Manila, anchoring the lowest temperature near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Official PAGASA guidance projects a 26°C low on September 5 amid 100% rain probability and southwest winds, while global models show similar ranges without sharp cooling or warming signals. Historical September minima average around 25–26°C under comparable monsoon conditions, with rain suppressing diurnal extremes but rarely pushing below 24°C absent stronger systems. This equilibrium supports the tight market clustering around mid-20s outcomes, as traders weigh minor forecast revisions from updated model runs or localized rain timing against the stable atmospheric pattern expected through the weekend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题