**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日米兰最低气温？
9月15日米兰最低气温？
13°C或以下 50%
23°C或更高 50%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
13°C或以下
50%
14°C
18%
15°C
15%
16°C
21%
17°C
23%
18°C
29%
19°C
28%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
50%
13°C或以下 50%
23°C或更高 50%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
13°C或以下
$10 交易量
50%
14°C
$10 交易量
18%
15°C
$50 交易量
15%
16°C
$8 交易量
21%
17°C
$0 交易量
23%
18°C
$0 交易量
29%
19°C
$0 交易量
28%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$50 交易量
21%
22°C
$10 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$10 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$148结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$148结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET**Forecast models from sources including YR.no and GFS-based outlooks indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15, 2026, under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1020–1022 hPa.** This setup supports moderate overnight radiative cooling without significant advection of cooler air, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities clustered at 18°C and 19°C. Ensemble spreads and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the diurnal minimum explain the near-even split and the non-negligible tail probabilities for 16–17°C or 20–21°C. A shift toward unsettled conditions and rain is projected only from September 16 onward, leaving the 15th resolution largely insensitive to longer-range variables. Traders are weighting the current short-range consensus from official monitoring agencies while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty in minimum-temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题