Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日莫斯科最低气温？
9月1日莫斯科最低气温？
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
93%
10°C
49%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
96%
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
9°C or below
$0 交易量
93%
10°C
$0 交易量
49%
11°C
$0 交易量
50%
12°C
$0 交易量
50%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
50%
18°C
$0 交易量
8%
19°C or higher
$0 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–17°C for Moscow on September 1, driven by southerly flow maintaining above-average warmth amid the early-autumn transition. Recent guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with light rain or thunderstorms possible, which would limit radiational cooling overnight, while clearer intervals could allow temperatures to dip closer to 13–14°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and dew-point depression creates the near-even split between outcomes above 19°C and below 9°C, with clustered probabilities around 11–17°C reflecting this narrow but uncertain range. Traders weigh persistent warm advection against potential for enhanced nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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