Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows range 19–20°C. Trader positioning favoring 14°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty in model runs regarding potential enhanced cold-air advection from the north or localized coastal effects, despite consensus across NWP guidance. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range ahead of resolution, with wind patterns and clear conditions as key variables influencing overnight radiative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日青岛最低气温？
9月3日青岛最低气温？
14℃或以下 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14℃或以下
99%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
25%
20°C
2%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C或更高
47%
14℃或以下 99%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14℃或以下
$5 交易量
99%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
26%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$4 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
49%
22°C
$5 交易量
49%
23°C
$5 交易量
49%
24°C或更高
$5 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows range 19–20°C. Trader positioning favoring 14°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty in model runs regarding potential enhanced cold-air advection from the north or localized coastal effects, despite consensus across NWP guidance. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range ahead of resolution, with wind patterns and clear conditions as key variables influencing overnight radiative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows range 19–20°C. Trader positioning favoring 14°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty in model runs regarding potential enhanced cold-air advection from the north or localized coastal effects, despite consensus across NWP guidance. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range ahead of resolution, with wind patterns and clear conditions as key variables influencing overnight radiative cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a minimum temperature near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows range 19–20°C. Trader positioning favoring 14°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty in model runs regarding potential enhanced cold-air advection from the north or localized coastal effects, despite consensus across NWP guidance. Upcoming updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this range ahead of resolution, with wind patterns and clear conditions as key variables influencing overnight radiative cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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